Suggested by: Christian Neuwirth (Z_GIS – Spatial Simulation)
Source: The Economist |
Short description:
Covid-19 is the first digitally documented pandemic in history, presenting a unique opportunity to learn how to best deal with similar crises in the future.
The large global variability in cumulative excess mortality indicates that countries were not equally successful in handling covid-19 outbreaks. Empirical investigations showed that predictors like population age, gross domestic product, quality of the healthcare system or availability of vaccination have an impact on national or regional excess mortality. In contrast to those variables, the spatial propagation of the pathogen, network-dependent arrival time as well as patterns of network connectivity were rarely considered.
The aim of this work is to derive global indicators of spatial disease propagation such as arrival time and connectivity as potential predictors of varying excess mortality. The method may by based on network-driven contagion analysis as proposed by Brockmann et al. (2013). The required data is freely available through the Flight Radar API.
References/Suggested reading:
- Brockmann, D., Helbing, D., 2013. The hidden geometry of complex, network-driven contagion phenomena. science 342, 1337–1342.
Start: ASAP
Prerequisites/qualifications: Interest in spatial statistics and/or spatial simulation, basic knowledge of R or Python
Please contact Christian Neuwirth in case of interest: christian.neuwirth@plus.ac.at