Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Observation density and apparent greening trends in pretrained EO embeddings of alpine ecosystems

Background: Pretrained embeddings such as TESSERA or AlphaEarth Foundations summarise a year of satellite observations in one vector per pixel. Yet the number of clear observations behind each embedding varies between places and years. Bayle et al. (2024) showed that Landsat-based greening trends in the Alps were overestimated because the number of summer observations increased over time. Whether embeddings show the same artefact has not been tested, and in embeddings it could easily go unnoticed.

Short description: The thesis transfers the idea of Bayle et al. to embeddings of alpine vegetation from 2017 onwards. Greening trends are calculated from NDVI and from embeddings for the same pixels, for example along a “greenness axis” in embedding space. A locally runnable model such as TESSERA is then fed with time series that have the same number of observations each year. If trends shrink, part of the greening comes from the data rather than the vegetation. Bare rock serves as a control.

 

Processing chain from satellite remote sensing measuring of Earth's surface reflectance to pixelwise greening trends. What happens if we reconstruct this approach with embeddings? Figure source: Bayle, A. (2026)

Suggested reading:

Bayle, A., Gascoin, S., Berner, L. T., & Choler, P. (2024). Landsat-based greening trends in alpine ecosystems are inflated by multidecadal increases in summer observations. Ecography, 2024(12), e07394. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07394

Bayle, A. (2026): Satellite Remote Sensing of Alpine Vegetation Dynamics: Challenges and Perspectives. Global Change Biology, https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70968

Feng, Z., Atzberger, C., Jaffer, S., Knezevic, J., Sormunen, S., Young, R., et al. (2025). TESSERA: Temporal Embeddings of Surface Spectra for Earth Representation and Analysis. arXiv:2506.20380. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.20380

Start: Anytime

Prerequisites/qualification

  • Remote Sensing & GIS
  • Good Python skills
  • Good basic statistics (e.g., trend analysis)

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