Monday, April 17, 2023

Spatio-temporal Patterns in Epidemiological Spread of COVID-19



Correlating User-generated Data with Public Health Data



Suggested by: Bernd Resch

Short description: Predicting epidemiological spreads in space and time is challenging because official health data is oftentimes not publicly available and partly outdated and often limited in its spatial and temporal resolution. Thus, this thesis will develop methods for identifying spatio-temporal patterns in COVID-19, dengue and chikungunya cases. The developed methodology will identify hot spots in space and time based on user-generated data (e.g., Twitter) and correlate the results with official and ancillary data (e.g. socio-economic & environmental data). Depending on the progress of the thesis, additional goals comprise the implementation of a tool for dynamic visualisation and the development of a method for forecasting the further spread of a disease, and investigating relationships with socio-economic information. The results can potentially support health institutions in planning vaccination and preparing for a rapidly spreading epidemic. The thesis has extraordinary practical relevance due to the COVID-19 pandemic and because chikungunya is currently spreading over South, Middle and North America, and Dengue fever is prevalent in many tropical and sub-tropical regions across the globe and increasingly impacts urban agglomerations.

The master thesis will be carried out together with Harvard University’s School of Public Health (HSPH) and the Center for Geographic Analysis (CGA).

Literature:

Hagenlocher, M., Delmelle, E., Casas, I., and Kienberger, S. (2013) Assessing socioeconomic vulnerability to dengue fever in Cali, Colombia: statistical vs expert-based modeling. International journal of health geographics, 12(1), 36.
Jaenisch, T. and Patz, J. (2002) Assessment of Associations between Climate and Infectious Diseases; a Comparison of the Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the National Research Council (NRC), and United States Global Change Research Program (USGCRP). Global Change & Human Health 2002, Volume 3(1), 2-7.
Resch, B. (2013) People as Sensors and Collective Sensing - Contextual Observations Complementing Geo-Sensor Network Measurements. In: Krisp, J. (2013) Advances in Location-Based Services, ISBN 978-3-642-34202-8, Springer, Berlin Heidelberg, pp. 391-406.

Start date: ASAP

Prerequisites/qualifications: experience with analysing VGI, data visualisation, and spatio-temporal pattern detection

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